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Should Fairfax give away 100,000 iPads and axe their print editions? [ANALYST RECOMMENDATION]

murdoch Should Fairfax give away 100,000 iPads and axe their print editions? [ANALYST RECOMMENDATION]It’s no secret that the newspaper industry is still struggling to find a sustainable model that works in a digitised world.

The goods news is that the paralysing paranoia seems to be diminishing (news is not in trouble — just print) now that the iPad has given the technically illiterate PTBs (powers that be) an alternative that they can hold in their ink-stained hands and genuinely comprehend (unlike the wild and untamed interwebs).

A report prepared by Macquarie, commissioned by Fairfax chief executive Brian McCarthy, which Macquarie expects to be released in conjunction with its 2010 results, has produced a startling analysis coupled with an equally surprising recommendation.

According to an article in The Australian:

Fairfax Media should axe its Melbourne and Sydney daily print editions and focus on e-readers and online to boost earnings.

The report found that “dropping print editions of The Sydney Morning Herald and The Age and delivering content via e-readers such as Apple’s iPad could boost earnings from the two papers to $55m — $5m more than the bank’s 2010 forecast… [Macquarie] analyst Alex Pollak also suggests Fairfax could get the ball rolling by spending about $50m to give away 100,000 e-readers to seed the migration of readers away from print.”

This news came only days after Rupert Murdoch voiced his support for The Times of London’s’ decision to ‘put up the paywall’ last month. At a new media forum held by The Australian in Sydney on Monday, Murdoch said tablet or slate computers were “a perfect platform for our content” and pay walls were part of the evolution.

“We are rolling out a paid content strategy across our newspaper websites,” Murdoch said. “Already The Wall Street Journal is the largest of its kind in the world with 1.1 million paying subscribers online. The Times of London and The Sunday Times last month started charging for access to their websites. It’s going to be a success. Subscriber levels are strong.”

Does this mean free iPads for all? According to Pollak, in the report, “such a move is likely, but not in its entirety on day one — a seismic structural shift like this will take time for Fairfax to convince both advertisers and consumers alike of its merits.”

Rupert Murdoch defends paywalls

In this excerpt from an interview with Peter M. Robinson, a research fellow at the Hoover Institution, Murdoch talks about his vision for news and his feelings about the iPad.

 

  • http://twitter.com/Edgevertise Roop K Bhadury

    hmm…less than 5 million iPads worldwide…7 billion people worldwide…surely print is dead. Fairfax might need a touch more than $50m though…even if we only look at the Australian market. IMHO, we are probably a couple of generations of digital paper type products before the market takes care of this seeming 'debate' of “will print survive or not”…

    [Reply]

  • http://www.soapboxdesign.com.au Lisa@Soapboxdesign

    Yes – I'll have one please.

    [Reply]

  • http://www.soapboxdesign.com.au Lisa@Soapboxdesign

    Yes – I'll have one please.

    [Reply]

  • http://www.soapboxdesign.com.au Lisa@Soapboxdesign

    Yes – I'll have one please.

    [Reply]

  • http://www.madinmelbourne.com.au/ MADinMelbourne

    “won't be using trucks” for the online experience, “we'll be using wifi” … how very sustainable of you Mr Murdoch. I have this feeling that the world wide web is a little daunting and beyond this paradigms' imagination. Shame.

    [Reply]

  • Walterf

    Well here is a problem in that our family of 5, which gets the news paper delivered, at some stages of the day a number of us read the different sections at the one time. That will be a problem one that one Ipad will not be able to fix. And all of a sudden your readership numbers may also begin to drop away.

    [Reply]

  • Craigvn

    I believe ereader type products will inevitable replace paper editions. But I think we are around 10 years away from they major dailies in Australia shutting down print editions. But 10 years is not that long.

    [Reply]

  • http://www.bunting.com.au Lloyd

    I'd like to see the discussion widened to cover telephone directories and local rags.
    I wonder what proportion of recipients of the white or yellow pages actually welcome or use them? Ours (at work and at home) go straight into the bin, along with the multiple local newspapers. I'd prefer to see an arrangement whereby people could collect free telephone directories and local newspapers from newsagencies or supermarkets if they want them. Others could continue to use online media. No – I'm not totally against print media – I buy the AFR in hard copy most days, but I use my iPhone and laptop for most everything else.

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  • Dyon – swanskiandhutch.com

    Murdoch’s major papers have a large enough following that he could do a significant deal with Apple to get them to own the e-reader market (more than they already do).

    What I mean by this, is if I was Rupert and co, I’d be saying something like: ‘subscribe to our stuff online for 24 months, and we’ll let you have one of these babies for just $150 down’ (maybe less if subscribing to ‘Murdoch Digital Print’ in its entirety (as opposed to Fairfax Digital – having other not-so-related assets in its portfolio)(say, $49/m for all editions of all publications globally?) …bearing in mind that the cost of delivery is stupidly lower (and greener) than print, and this will also increase the eyeball count they can pimp out to advertisers – with click-through ability! :)

    Alternatively, those who own ipads already could get the subscription for 75% off for 2 years or something (automatically reverting to normal price after that).

    More consideration obviously required, but they could put that deal together in a matter of weeks if the wanted to – then wait a few months for Apple to be able to deliver. Oh, and Rupert, if you roll with this idea, I’d like 21 days notice before you make it public please, so I can pick up some Stock options before it jumps ;)

    [Reply]

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